Every year I like to make predictions for the Oscars. I love movies, but I have rarely seen most of the ones that are nominated. For instance, this year I saw "True Grit" and "How to Train Your Dragon." Yep.
But nonetheless, I read a lot about movies on the good ole Internet. So while I may not have actual firsthand experience, I am quite familiar with most of the nominees and have a pretty good idea of what it takes to win an Academy Award. Besides, I'm no critic. Another for instance — I loved "Scott Pilgrim vs. The World." No Oscar nods for that one.
So here's how this goes: I'm going to list all the nominees and bold who I predict will win. Please feel free to disagree with me in the comments.
Actor in a Leading Role: Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”; Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”; Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”; Colin Firth in “The King's Speech”; James Franco in “127 Hours”
Never miss a local story.
Yeah, I know he won last year, but I love me some Jeff Bridges. If anyone can take it home two years in a row, it's The Dude.
Actor in a Supporting Role: Christian Bale in “The Fighter”; John Hawkes in “Winter's Bone”; Jeremy Renner in “The Town”; Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”; Geoffrey Rush in “The King's Speech”
I am always impressed by Christian Bale. And he's one hell of a Batman.
Actress in a Leading Role: Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”; Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”; Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter's Bone”; Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”; Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”
I had a hard time with this one because I like Michelle Williams, plus I think it would be great to see Jennifer Lawrence land this one. But we all know Nat's got it in the bag. And I think she deserves it this time.
Actress in a Supporting Role: Amy Adams in “The Fighter”; Helena Bonham Carter in “The King's Speech”; Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”; Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”; Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”
Hailee is 14 and acted alongside Jeff Bridges and Matt Damon like she'd been doing it her whole life. She's cute, poised and has a great career ahead of her. That being said, I was so close to giving this one to Helena Bonham Carter.
Animated Feature Film: "How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois; “The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet; “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich
I've heard great things about "Toy Story 3" and I really want to see it, but "Dragon" was so much better than I expected it to be.
Art Direction: “Alice in Wonderland,” Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara; “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1,” Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan; “Inception,” Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat; “The King's Speech,” Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr; “True Grit,” Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh
Cinematography: “Black Swan” Matthew Libatique; “Inception” Wally Pfister; “The King's Speech” Danny Cohen; “The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth; “True Grit” Roger Deakins
Costume Design: “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood; “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi; “The King's Speech” Jenny Beavan; “The Tempest” Sandy Powell; “True Grit” Mary Zophres
Directing: “Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky; “The Fighter” David O. Russell; “The King's Speech” Tom Hooper; “The Social Network” David Fincher; “True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
Documentary (Feature): “Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz; “Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic; “Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs; “Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger; “Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley
Just because I want to see Banksy. If he shows up.
Documentary (Short Subject): “Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein; “Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block; “Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon; “Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger; “The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon
Film Editing: “Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum; “The Fighter” Pamela Martin; “The King's Speech” Tariq Anwar; “127 Hours” Jon Harris; “The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
Foreign Language Film: “Biutiful” Mexico; “Dogtooth” Greece; “In a Better World” Denmark; “Incendies” Canada; “Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria
Makeup: “Barney's Version” Adrien Morot; “The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng; “The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
Music (Original Score): “How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell; “Inception” Hans Zimmer; “The King's Speech” Alexandre Desplat; “127 Hours” A.R. Rahman; “The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Throw back to my NIN-loving days.
Music (Original Song): “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey; “I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater; “If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong; “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3" Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
Best Picture: “Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers; “The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers; “Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers; “The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers; “The King's Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers; “127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers; “The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers; “Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer; “True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers; “Winter's Bone" Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers
I'm throwing this out there as the biggest surprise of the entire awards season. (But if that doesn't happen, I'm rooting for "True Grit")
Short Film (Animated): “Day & Night” Teddy Newton; “The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang; “Let's Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe; “The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann; “Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois
Short Film (Live Action): “The Confession” Tanel Toom; “The Crush” Michael Creagh; “God of Love” Luke Matheny; “Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt; “Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite
Sound Editing: “Inception” Richard King; “Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers; “Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague; “True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey; “Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger
Sound Mixing: “Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick; “The King's Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley; “Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin; “The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten; “True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
Visual Effects: “Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips; “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi; “Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell; “Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb; “Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick
Writing (Adapted Screenplay): “127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy; “The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin; “Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt, Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich; “True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen; “Winter's Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini
Writing (Original Screenplay): “Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh; “The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson, Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson; “Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan; “The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg; “The King's Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler
It looks like I've almost completely shut out "The King's Speech" and I'm sure you can figure out that I simply guessed on many of these categories (especially those technical ones). But it was fun.
What are your predictions for Sunday's big awards show?
If you want to attend an Oscar party, read Sandra Okamoto's blog for details.