Crystal Bowersox SHOULD win "American Idol," but Lee DeWyze WILL win "American Idol."
DialIdol has Lee winning by a pretty large margin. The website measures busy signals only and doesn't account for text message votes, but I can't imagine Crystal's fans being avid texters.
Four experts on the LA Times' Buzzmeter predicted Lee will win. Two went with Crystal.
Why does Lee have the edge? I think lots of viewers equate the "Idol" title with a "most improved" award. The judges really played up Lee's journey of improvement, especially in recent weeks.
Tonight's show begins at 8 p.m. on Fox. It was originally scheduled for two hours but "Idol" execs have already said it will run at least seven minutes overtime.
I'll post live updates throughout the show.