A super El Niño hitting GA getting more likely, forecasters say. What that means for the weather
A “super” El Niño is a possibility for Georgia, and while there is still a lot of uncertainty, there is potential for major weather impacts for the state.
A “super” El Niño is the highest intensity level, with ocean temperatures at least 2°C above normal in a key part of the Pacific. If Georgia gets these conditions it could shape up to be a historic climate event.
Forecasters from the UGA Extension predict “a strong El Nino” later this summer, and it could “last through next winter.” Coupled with Georgia’s ongoing drought conditions could result in a quieter hurricane season and less much-needed rainfall.
Effects on Georgia weather
- Wetter fall and winter weather, especially in north and central Georgia
- Cooler-than-normal stretches, mainly during the cool season
- A better chance of heavy rain and localized flooding
- More active storm tracks with wild temperature swings
Impact on hurricane season
- El Niño increases wind shear
- Harder for tropical storms and hurricanes to organize and strengthen
- Quieter active season
Although El Niño could produce a quieter hurricane season does not make Georgia safe from tropical impacts, flooding, or tornadoes from a landfalling system.
Stay prepared
Accuweather predicts up to four major hurricanes and maybe 16 named storms, so staying informed about weather conditions and hurricane preparedness is key to your safety.
Tips for getting and staying prepared:
- Make and keep an emergency kit before weather hits
- Know your evacuation routes
- Sign up for local weather alerts
- Designate a safe room in your home
There’s a simple rule for hurricane season: prepare early, stay informed, and don’t wait until warnings are already being issued.